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Thursday, 23 July 2015

Pestech - Joining the Bursa Billionaire Club

Congratulations Pestech! She is no longer a Small and Mid cap player. When I first posted about Pestech it was 5.15 @ 17 July , the market cap of RM 956m, fast forward 4 working days it has break the billion dollar company mark. Today closing @ 5.56 with a market capitalization of  RM1.033b. About 8% increased for a quick 4 trading days.
It has touched 1 billion mark. What's next? If the price is sustainable in another few trading days without huge force selling/profit taking, I am in the opinion that some bigger boys shall come in. Generally for larger Institutional Funds, they can only come in for company bigger than 1b.  

Looking at their company's strategy of accumulating shares and cross it to the Institutional Funds, it would not suprise me if currently they are talking to the larger Institutional Fund House to join their journey. 

Personally for myself, I will keep the share and continue my exciting journey with Pestech.

Posted on 17/7:

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/humblepie188/80032.jsp

Conclusion:

PE 17x is not cheap. For those investors looking for a very safe and high dividend yield stock, this is not for you. For investors who are willing to look at this counter, do prepare to hold mid to long term with less dividends given (it is normal for construction company to give less dividends). Personally I am monitoring this counter, if the bosses keep accumulating from the open market eventhough it touches RM5, I do not mind to follow his foot steps. 

I believe Pestech is joining the billionaire club soon. 






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Disclaimer and Declaration

The full content of the article is for educational purposes only and should not be used as investment recommendations. We are not responsible for all investment activities conducted by the participants and cannot be held liable for any investment loss. Examples of specific shares is citied for illustration purposes.

Regards,

Humble Pie

Friday, 17 July 2015

Pestech International Bhd - Prudent Strong Management Team

Dear Readers,

Selamat Hari Raya to all Muslim friends in Malaysia! While enjoying a cup of latte, I am browsing through an interesting company with 3 years of listing record.

Today sharing will be a bit different. Generally sifus will be using Fundamentals to analyze a company moving forward for their future growth. My 2 cents are included other factors for sharing purposes.

1. Management Team / Major Shareholders:

i. Bear in mind, good company is run by Great People. The brains and movers behind. If the bosses are reliable and generally sincere in doing business, you shall see their words/promises are kept.

Back to May 2012 IPO, if you browse through their Annual Report, one weird issue generally normal people won't notice, Pestech's Principle Advisor is Bank Islam. Why Bank Islam and not the other Investment Banks that are Small and Mid Cap IPO Specialist? Personally I guess if they are engaging 'The Small Cap IPO Specialist', the IPO valuation might be slightly better considering their ability/database available to push the Private Placement to Institutional Clients.     

Bank Islam is one of the best practitioner of Shariah Principle in Malaysia and it carries a premium in the eye of our Muslim Institutional Funds and Muslim Investors. An engagement with Bank Islam generally it carries the understanding of prudent business.

ii. For the past 2 years, the CEO/ED Mr. Lim Pay Chuan has been buying back his own shares. He is doing Dividend Reinvestment Plan too. For lay man like us, dividend means income from investment received. For him to exercise this activity, he himself would not be getting monies from the dividends declared, only shares. For this idea to be successful, the owners must have confident with their own listed vehicle to continously generating good profits. 

  iii. A lot of young investors have not heard about Share Grant Plan (SGP). SGP is different from ESOS. ESOS is to be given to staffs who work about 3 years and above for their loyalty and a scheme to hold the staff for another few years. SGP is free shares to be rewarded base on achievement/KPIs met.  


2. Fundamental Analysis

Sept 14 + Dec 14 + Mac 15 = EPS of 22.29 for 3 Quarters
(22.29/3) X 4 = 29.72 (annualized 4 Quarters)
Price 5.15 / 29.72 = PE 17x 
For the pricing, definately it is not cheap. Comparable to PE for FD of 18X.



3. Economic / Industry
Pestech's business rely on Tenaga a lot. For the past few years they have diversified to few countries especially Cambodia and their reputation there is recognize by the government. They have reduced their dependancy to Tenaga for the past few years. I would not want to touch the FA in details, you may read it @ 
http://www.bursamarketplace.com/index.php?ch=44&pg=158&ac=16504&bb=research_article_pdf
TP: 6.11
Being a construction company focusing on utilities, this sector are generally defensive and niche. For their competitors to emulate what Pestech can do, it is tough. 

4. A quick glance on their shareholdings, Mr. Lim Ah Hock and Lim Pay Chuan controls more than 55% of the shares. Inclusive of their Directors and Friendly Institutional Funds who enjoy the ride for the past 3 years, I believe collectively they can reach up to 75% of the public spread. As long as the bosses keeps on accumulating from the market, I believe he would not bring me to Holland. Sellling the shares to institutional I believe it part of their strategy to introduce their company to Foreign Institutional Funds as they are actively involving business in Asean Market.
  


Conclusion:

PE 17x is not cheap. For those investors looking for a very safe and high dividend yield stock, this is not for you. For investors who are willing to look at this counter, do prepare to hold mid to long term with less dividends given (it is normal for construction company to give less dividends). Personally I am monitoring this counter, if the bosses keep accumulating from the open market even though it touches RM5, I do not mind to follow his foot steps. 
I believe Pestech is joining the billionaire club soon. 

Disclaimer and Declaration

The full content of the article is for educational purposes only and should not be used as investment recommendations. We are not responsible for all investment activities conducted by the participants and cannot be held liable for any investment loss. Examples of specific shares is citied for illustration purposes.

Regards,

Humble Pie

Wednesday, 15 July 2015

Reviewing Stocks Shared Since May 2015

Dear All,

I have selected some stocks since May 2015 :

YSP   - First posted               @ 21/2                                           = Price 1.42 
           2nd time highlighted @ 1/5                                             = Price 1.58 
           Price has run up to 2.90 @ 15/7 = From 1.58 to 2.90     = Profit of 84% 

CCMDuo - First highlighted @  21/2                                            = Price 2.83
            2nd time highlighted @ 1/5                                            =  Price 3.84 
            15/7 Adding the right issue @ 1.80 on 1/5 purchase ( 2nd purchase date), my cost around 2.83                                                                                                        = Profit of 2%
            15/7 closing price 2.88 
  
Hovid - First highlighted @  21/2                                                   = Price 0.44
            2nd time highlighted @ 1/5                                              =  Price 0.5
            Using the 2nd purchase date @ 0.5 vs 17/5 closing 0.485 = Loss of 3%  
 
Can One - First posted @ 2nd May - Price RM 2.71 - Now @ 2.52 - Loss of 7%
I am preparing to hold this counter as posted.  

BJauto - First posted        @ 20/2                                               = Price 3.45 
           2nd time highlighted @ 2/5                                             = Price 4.04 
           15/7 Adding the right issue @ 1.80 on 1/5 purchase, my cost =
           3.45 + 4.04 = 3.75 (after dividend and bonus issue, cost is = RM 2.68 , Loss of 2%

Focus Lumber First discovered @ 2/6                                                 = Price 1.34
           15/7                                                                                      = Price 1.48 - Profit of 10.5%

UEMS - Trading Buy @ RM 1 now RM 1.02                           = Profit of 2% (will take out as it does not uses FA Model)     

Matrix Concept  posted on 22/5 @ 3.33, after Bonus Issus of 1 for every 6 held =  Average Price 2.63
                             = After adding the free warrants, my Profit should be around 2 ~ 3%

To be meaningful, I am not using the 1st calling Price on YSP, CCM DUO and Hovid on Feb 2015. It would be more fair by using May's closing price. Generally during the tough time on May ~ July period, my portfolio still giving me a stabilize return. 

Why we are using FA for analysis and stock picks?

Simple: 'Head I win, tail I won't lose much'

Happy Trading ! 
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Disclaimer and Declaration
 
The full content of the article is for educational purposes only and should not be used as investment recommendations. We are not responsible for all investment activities conducted by the participants and cannot be held liable for any investment loss. Examples of specific shares may be citied for illustration purposes.
 
Regards,
 
Humble Pie